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|North Dakota vs North Dakota State||OVER 149 -110||Premium||86-77||Win||100||Show|
|Western Michigan vs Kent State||OVER 145½ -110||Premium||71-73||Loss||-110||Show|
|Oklahoma vs Kansas State||Kansas State +2½ -115||Premium||69-87||Win||100||Show|
|Pittsburgh vs Syracuse||Pittsburgh +17½ -105||Premium||45-59||Win||100||Show|
|Wisconsin vs Purdue||Wisconsin +14 -102||Premium||50-78||Loss||-102||Show|
|Louisville vs Notre Dame||Notre Dame -2½ -112||Premium||82-78||Loss||-112||Show|
|Devils vs Islanders||Islanders +113||Premium||4-1||Loss||-100||Show|
|Toledo vs Ohio||Toledo +1½ -105||Premium||91-57||Win||100||Show|
|Wolves vs Magic||Magic +8 -102||Premium||102-108||Win||100||Show|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Iowa State vs TCU
The Horned Frogs (13-4, 1-4 in Big 12) have lost four of their past five games and three contests in a row and all 5 games have been grueling and exhausting affairs, that could easily have the Horned Frogs play a down game just because of the sheer amount of energy exerted. I know Iowa State is also struggling in the W/L column of late , but they are a viable opponent for all comers in the Big 12 as was evident in an easy 75-65 win vs Baylor last time out. Note” Iowa State has won 4 of the L/5 in this series overall and 4 of their L/5 tips to TCU.
TCU is 1-8 ATS L/9 in home games vs. good free throw shooting teams – making 72% or more of their attempts over the last couple of seasons.IOWA ST is 19-9 ATS L/28 in road games versus very good teams – outscoring their opponents by 8+ points/game over the last few seasons and is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus good rebounding teams – outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game. Last year in Fort Worth, TCU won 84-77 on Jan. 14, 2017. It was the Horned Frogs’ first victory over Iowa State in 20 years.
Iowa State to cover
Penguins vs Ducks
Goaltender John Gibson earned a shutout when the Ducks beat the Penguins in their earlier game, Dec. 23 in Pittsburgh and I’m betting they turn the trick again tonight on their own home ice. The Ducks have been banged up for most of the season but are now healthy and ready to roll.
Their is also some animosity being carried into this game by the Ducks against the league, as their being penalized somewhat unfairly for their physical play which the refs have been cracking down on. We all know this a very physical Anaheim team, and their not taking kindly to the attention, that has been heaped on them of late, as was the case when current NHL iron man Andrew Cogliano, who held the league’s current iron-man streak (consecutive games played), was suspended two games for a hit on Adrian Kempe of the Kings in the game Saturday. His team mates and he himself seem pretty broken up about the situation, and will be ready to take out on league darlings and defending Stanley Cup champs Pittsburgh in this spot.
PITTSBURGH is 4-9 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) this season and 7-12 ATS L/19 against good starting goalies – saving 91.5% or more of shots against this season..ANAHEIM is 7-3 ATS L/10 against good possession teams-averaging 3+ more shots on goal than opp this season.
Road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line (PITTSBURGH) – off 2 or more consecutive home wins against opponent off a road blowout loss by 3 goals or more are 5-39 SU l/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 89% for bettors.
Play on the Anaheim Ducks to win on the moneyline
Warriors vs Bulls
When these teams played back in late November of this season, the Warriors took a 143-94 win vs their hosts tonight the Chicago Bulls. I’m sure that bad defensive performance still is a sore point for Hoiberg and company, and this time around I’m betting the Bulls despite of some decent offensive production of late won’t allow themselves to get caught up in shoot out that they probably can’t win. This I’m betting cuts into the lines-makers Totals projections. Add to that the Warriors are off a big win vs Cleveland last time out, and now in a an emotional letdown situation, their energy levels should be diminished , and their offensive output curtailed, which could lead to a much lower scoring game than expected.
HC Kerr is 21-9 UNDER L/30 in road games when playing against a team with a losing record – 2nd half of the season with the combined average score registering in at 214.6 ppg. Bulls HC Hoiberg is 31-16 UNDER L/47 in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent with a combined average score of 201.9 ppg scored.
Under is 4-0 in Warriors last 4 vs. NBA Central.Under is 7-1 in Warriors last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.Under is 6-1 in Warriors last 7 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.Under is 5-2 in Bulls last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.Under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Chicago.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 UNDER L/17 versus struggling defensive teams – shooting pct defense of 46% or more – 2nd half of the season dating back to last season with a combined average score of 214.7 ppg scored.CHICAGO is 30-18 UNDER versus teams – allowing 106+ points/game with the average combined score clicking in at 207.9 ppg.
GOLDEN STATE is 23-9 UNDER in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 229.5 to 230 with a combined average of 225.1 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 27-10 UNDER L/37 in home games in non-conference games with a combined average of 198.9 ppg scored.
NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (GOLDEN STATE) – after 2 or more consecutive wins against opponent after 3 or more consecutive wins are 33-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 87% conversion rate for Totals bettors.
Pelicans vs Hawks
The Pelicans, are on tired legs after, defeating the Eastern Conference-leading Celtics 116-113 in overtime at Boston on Tuesday night. Meanwhile, Atlanta is playing much better of late, and are coming off a 102-99 loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Monday. The Hawks have shown some fight in recent games and must not be disrespected here as they are 4-3 against Western Conference teams at home this season. In 31 of their 43 games, the Hawks have been within at least one possession at some point in the fourth quarter and deserve our attention as dogs in this spot play.
ATLANTA is 27-14 ATS L/41 versus good passing teams, averaging 23 or more assists/game. Pelicans HC Gentry is 9-23 ATS L/31 after 2 straight games where they attempted 90 or more shots.
Pelicans are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 vs. NBA Southeast.Hawks are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 vs. Western Conference.Hawks are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.Hawks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (NEW ORLEANS) – off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 5-26 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 84% conversion rate for bettors.
NBA teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (NEW ORLEANS) – off a road win by 3 points or less, playing on back-to-back days are 4-27 SU L/5 seasons losing by an average of 10.2 ppg.
Play on the Atlanta Hawks to cover
Iowa vs Rutgers
My College Hoops Selections are based on my own power rankings and proprietary software projections . All factors are researched – relevant trends, line moves, coaching, current stats , historical archives, and injury updates are all considered in my final selections. In other words no stone is left unturned in my quest for a profitable outcome to my recommendations , whether they are sides or totals.
Iowa plays a one way offensive game, scoring 81 plus ppg on offense and allowing 81 ppg on the road. Rutgers plays a little slower paced game, but I’m betting will be dragged into a much faster paced tilt then their accustomed to which will result in a fairly high scoring affair.
RUTGERS is 11-2 OVER L/13 in home games versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last few seasons with a combined average of 145.7 ppg scored and 10-2 OVER L/12 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season with a combined average of 149.9 ppg going on the board.
IOWA is 16-4 OVER L/20 in road games after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games with a combined average of 154 ppg going on the board. IOWA is 11-1 OVER L/12 when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 163.3 ppg scored.
CBB All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (RUTGERS/IOWA) – in a game involving 2 up-tempo teams (60 or more shots/game) after 15+ games are 112-54 OVER L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate for bettors.
Utah State vs Boise State
Utah State enters this game vs Boise State in a double revenge situation from last season. The Aggies have faired well before with revenge in this series in the past cashing 5 straight here in the visitors role. With the Broncos off a big game against San Diego State last time out, and with conference leader Nevada on deck, they will probably not be 100% focused on this tilt and in an emotional letdown state after their last aforementioned battle .
BOISE ST is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games.BOISE ST is 8-23 ATS L/31 after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half .BOISE ST is 2-9 ATS L/11 in home games after a conference game .
CBB Road underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (UTAH ST) – an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 5 straight games are 31-9 ATS L/21 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Utah State to cover
St. John’s vs Xavier
Xavier is off a big win on Saturday afternoon by taking out Creighton ( after a 2 game losing streak). The Musketeers exerted a lot of energy in that tilt, and may not be as exuberant this time around vs a St.John’s side that is better than many anticipated before the season began. The Storm have played hard even after sophomore guard Marcus Lovett, was injured and lost for the season, as was the case last week against one of the best teams in the nation Villanova (78-71- +12 dog). I’m recommending we take the points here with the underdog.
CBB Favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (XAVIER) – after 2 or more consecutive unders, an explosive offensive team (76 PPG or more ) against an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games. 68-120 ATS L/21 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 64% for bettors on the blind.
Play on St.John’s to cover
South Florida vs East Carolina
Both these teams are struggling, with South Florida having lost 5 straight games and East Carolina 5 of their L/6.The lone E.Carolina win came against this same S.Flordia side by a 67-65 count and another one possession game is not out of the question. From a matchup perspective this line should be closer to a pickem, thus getting points according to my data is a very good wagering option.
CBB Home teams as a favorite or pick (E CAROLINA) – in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games, after a combined score of 115 points or less are 9-32 ATS for a go against 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on South Florida to cover
Bradley vs Illinois State
Bradely after starting their season in red hot form, have now lost 4 of their L/7 and are beatable in their current form . I know Illinois State has also stumbled , losing 2 straight, but they matchup well from a systems standpoint and get the nod, with home court advantage on their side.
HC Muller of Illinois State is 16-4 ATS L/20 after a game where they made 53% of their free throws or worse.
Illinois State has won the L/4 meetings in this series overall and are 15-4 SU L/19 at home in this series.
ILLINOIS ST is 11-2 ATS L/13 after 1 or more consecutive losses.
BRADLEY is 1-8 ATS L/9 in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5. BRADLEY is a long term negative bet as they are 95-126 ATS as a road underdog or pick.
CBB favorite (ILLINOIS ST) – average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (32% or less), good ball handling team (14.5 TO or worse) vs. an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO) after 15+ games are 85-43 ATS L/5 seasons for a 66% conversion rate .
Play on Illinois State to cover
Dayton vs St. Joe’s
Dayton is into top form as they have won 2 straight and 3 of their L/4 , with the lone loss coming by 2 points. Meanwhile, St.Jospehs has failed to win and cover two straight, and are a sub .500 team on the season. From a matchup perspective Dayton has the edge according to my power rankings, and get the nod here as short dogs.
ST JOSEPHS is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread.
ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS L/17 in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games. ST JOSEPHS is 4-13 ATS L/17 off a close road loss by 3 points or less.DAYTON is 12-3 ATS L/15 after a game where they made 13 or more 3 point shots.
CBB road team (DAYTON) – in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 44-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors.
CBB Road teams as an underdog or pick (DAYTON) – in a game involving two average teams (+/- 3.5 PPG diff.) after 15 or more games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 36-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Dayton to cover
Tulsa vs Temple
Tulsa, after starting the season with a 10-5 record has lost 3 straight games, with their loss coming vs ranked Wichita State, by a 72-69 count , showing me their ability to compete against some of the best teams in the nation. Meanwhile, Temple has lost 6 of their L/7 overall, but have for the most part been highly competitive. Even when they have won nothing has come easily. so another closely contested matchup vs a quality opponent is high probability making getting points a viable wagering option.
TEMPLE is 1-9 ATS L/10 versus teams who average 6 or less steals/game on the season after 15+ games dating back to last season and 2-8 ATS L/110 versus poor pressure defensive teams – forcing 14 or less turnovers/game.
CBB Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (TEMPLE) – after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last seven games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season are 39-79 ATS L/21 seasons for a 67% go against conversion rate on the blind for bettors.
Play on Tulsa to cover
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 18 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the ‘The Smart Money Approach”. I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.