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Blue Jays vs A’s
Blue Jays +118 at sportsbook
MIKE LUNDIN’S BLUE JAYS @ ATHLETICS FREE PICK
The Toronto Blue Jays earned their first series win of the season with a 7-4 triumph at Minnesota on Thursday. The Jays scored a total 19 runs as they claimed three of four games, and I think they’ll ride the momentum to another big effort here at Oakland Friday night.
Toronto right-hander Marcus Stroman (0-3, 1.99 ERA) is still be without a win here in 2019, but through little fault of his own. The 27 year old right-hander has received just six runs of support in his four starts, but that should change here as Toronto’s bats have come alive lately.
The A’s hand the ball to Aaron Brooks (2-1, 4.24 ERA) who tossed six scoreless innings in his season debut, but his two outings since have not been quite as sharp.
The Athletics have played just three games over the last six days, which could mess with their rhythm. They didn’t play yesterday and are 1-6 in their last seven games following an off day.
Free pick on Toronto Blue Jays.
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Giants vs Pirates
Pirates -107 at YouWager
1* Free MLB Pick on Pittsburgh Pirates -107
Really like the value here with Pittsburgh at basically a pick’em at home against the Giants. Pirates were an afterthought in the NL Central with all the attention falling on the Cubs, Cardinals and Brewers, but this is a team that exceeded expectations last year and is off to a strong 10-6 start to 2019.
The simple fact that Madison Bumgarner is starting for the Giants has SF overvalued. Bumgarner has given up 5 runs in 2 of his 4 starts and has allowed 4 homers in his last 19 innings of work. The better starter is going for the home team. Jordan Lyles has looked fantastic in his first two outings, giving up just 1 run on 6 hits with 12 strikeouts in 11 innings.
Giants are just 2-8 in Bumgarner’s last 10 starts vs a NL team that is scoring 4 or less runs/game, while the Pirates are 16-1 in their last 17 vs a team that draws 3 or fewer walks/game and 12-2 in their last 14 vs a horrible power teams (avg. 0.75 or less HRs/game). Take Pittsburgh!
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Raptors vs Magic
Magic +5½ -104 at pinnacle
Take the Orlando Magic plus the points versus the Toronto Raptors. Orlando (43-41) looks to bounce-back from their 111-82 loss at Toronto as a 10.5-point underdog on Tuesday. The Magic have then covered the point spread in 7 of their last 10 games after a straight-up loss. Orlando has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games on their home court. Toronto (59-25) has covered the point spread in three of their last four games — and they have failed to cover the point spread in 14 of their last 19 games after covering the point spread in three of their last four games. The Raptors have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 of their last 5 trips to Orlando to face the Magic. Take Orlando plus the points. Best of luck — Frank.
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Blue Jays vs A’s
A’s -127 at pinnacle
Play – Oakland A’s vs. Stroman (Game 928).
Edges – Athletics: 3-0 home all-time versus Stroman … Blue Jays: 0-5 last five team starts in April. With Stroman 0-4 in his four tam starts this season, we recommend a 1* play on Oakland. Thank you and good luck as always.
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NYM vs STL
OVER 9 -110
The MLB comp Play is on the over in the NYM at St. Louis game. Rotation numbers 909/910 at 8:15 eastern. Both teams show big over tendencies in this game. The Mets are 7 of 8 over with rest, 6 of 7 off a loss and 4 of 5 vs winning teams. The Cards are 10 of 12 over in game 1 of a series, 4 of 5 vs winning teams, 8 of 11 vs leftys and 5 of 6 with rest. Vargas for the Mets has been terrible and he has pitched over in 6 straight on the road and was knocked out of the box in less than 2 innings last out. Wainwright has pitched over in 21 of 30 on Fridays, 5 of 6 vs the Mets and 12 of 15 vs N.L. East teams. In the series 6 of 8 here have gone over and that is what we should see again here tonight. Rob Vinciletti- Golden Contender Sports
Blazers vs Thunder
Thunder -7½ -109 at pinnacle
Mikey Sports FREE NBA play Friday 4-19-19
Oklahoma City -7 1/2
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CWS vs DET
OVER 8 -119
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Friday 4-19-19
OVER 8 -119 Chicago White Sox/Detroit
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Blazers vs Thunder
Thunder -7½ -107 at pinnacle
1* Free Sharp Play on Thunder -7½ -107
My money is on the Thunder to cash in an easy win and cover at home against the Blazers. This is do-or-die for OKC after dropping each of the first two games of the series at Portland. The big thing you have to keep in mind with the Blazers in Game 1 and Game 2 is just how good they are at home. Portland went 32-9 on their home floor, which was tied for the second best home record in the league behind the Bucks at 33-8. Bet the Thunder -7.5!
Phillies vs Rockies
Phillies +119 at 5Dimes
The set-up: The Rockies had lost eight in a row and 12 of 13 before last night’s 6-2 win. However, I think the hard-hitting Phillies will bounce back here and take advantage of this “on again, off again” Rockies offense. I think the starters a wash today, with Vince Velasquez going for Philadelphia and German Marquez heading to the hill for the home side.
The pitchers: Marquez (2-1, 2.00 ERA) has been a bright spot for Colorado and for the most part he’s been decent vs. Philly throughout his career, going 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA in three career starts, allowing seven runs over 19 innings opposed.
Velazquez (0-0, 2.25) is 2-1 with a 5.23 ERA in six career starts vs. the Rockies. Note that Philadelphia has won all three games in which he’s pitched so far this season.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is 10-5 (+3.7 units) vs. right-handed starters this year, while Colorado is just 3-7 (-5 units) in the same position. Consider the visitors in this one.
Braves vs Indians
Braves +141 at YouWager
10* FREE MLB PICK (Braves +141)
I’ll take my chances here with Atlanta as a decently priced road dog against the Indians. Corey Kluber will be on the mound for Cleveland, which is why they are getting so much love from the books. However, Kluber has not pitched well at all in 2019. He’s got a 6.16 ERA and 1.842 WHIP in 4 starts. Last time out he didn’t even complete 3 innings at KC, as he was rocked for 6 runs on 6 hits and 5 walks.
The other key here is the Indians offense is still not producing and Atlanta starter Touki Toussaint was really impressive in relief, giving up 1 run (0 earned) on just 4 hits with 7 K’s in 6 innings of work. Toussaint made 5 starts last year and was solid, never giving up more than 3 runs in a start. Give me the Braves +141!
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SFO vs PIT
UNDER 7½ -114
Madison Bumgarner has allowed just 14 runs and 20 hits over 26 innings for the Giants so far. The southpaw has 23 strikeouts to just four walks. Bum has seen Pittsburgh just twice since 2016 holding them to one run in each start. The Pirates lineup is averaging 3.7 runs per contest and are hitting .220 in their last seven games. San Fran’s bullpen has some pretty good arms so they should be able to hold a late lead. Jordan Lyles has pitched well in two starts holding the Cubs and Reds to one run and six hits in 11 innings. Now, I’m not expecting him to continue to pitch like that, but the Giants lineup is pretty bad. San Fran has scored three runs or less in five of their last eight games. Pittsburgh has gone under in five of their last seven. I think this one is a lower scoring game.
Giants vs Pirates
Giants +100 at betonline
My 1* Free Play is on the San Francisco Giants (7:05 EST).
The Pirates return home primed for a classic “letdown” here in my estimation after a successful 5-3 road trip. And would anyone fault Pittsburgh either for coming out “gassed,” as it’s gone to extra innings six times over its first 16 games, which is now a franchise record.
The hungry visiting side will look to take advantage. The Giants go with veteran Madison Bumgarner (1-2, 3.12 ERA), who most recently earned his first win of the year vs. the Rockies on Saturday, giving up two runs, but walking none and striking out seven over seven innings.
Bumgarner has seven career starts vs. the Pirates and he’s posted a very respectable 2.84 ERA.
The home side counters with Jordan Lyles (1-0, 0.82) who has been fantastic for his new team to open the young season. Last year though he was a pedestrian 3-4 with a 4.11 ERA and in 19 appearances vs. the Giants he owns a ballooned 5.85 ERA.
I think Lyles and the Pirates come back down to Earth here in their first home game after their lengthy and highly satisfying road trip. Consider the Giants on Friday night.
Mets vs Cardinals
Cardinals -149 at betonline
The New York Mets (10-8 Overall, 8-5 Away) are losers of two in a row. They look to bounce back on the road against the St. Louis Cardinals (10-8 Overall, 5-2 Home).
The New York Mets pitching has been struggling lately. So has today’s starting pitcher for the Mets, Jason Vargas (1-0, 14.21 ERA).
Vargas has not faced the Cardinals this year. He is 0-1 with a 11.57 ERA in his last start against the Cardinals. St. Louis hit .400 against him in that start.
St. Louis had the day off yesterday, and will turn to Adam Wainwright (1-1, 3.94 ERA). Wainwright is familiar with the Mets over his career. He is 2-1 with a 3.38 ERA in his last four starts against them.
Mets lineups have hit .310 against him in those starts.
Hopefully he will pitch better than he did in his last outing. He pitched six innings, allowing three hits, two home runs and two walks against the Reds in a loss.
I like him to pitch better today at home.
Take the Cardinals for the win.
Blue Jays vs A’s
A’s -125 at Mirage
Jack’s Free Pick Friday: Oakland A’s -125
The Oakland A’s had yesterday off following their 2-1 victory over the Astros at home on Wednesday. They will be fresh and ready to go tonight. The Toronto Blue Jays finished up a four-game series in Minnesota yesterday and had to travel overnight to Oakland. They certainly will not be fresh.
I like what I’ve seen from Oakland starter Aaron Brooks this season. He has gone 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in three starts, and two of those were against Houston and Boston. His job gets much easier tonight against a Blue Jays lineup that is hitting just .217 and scoring 3.7 runs per game this season.
Marcus Stroman has pitched pretty well this season, but he still doesn’t have a win as he is 0-3, which can be attributed to Toronto’s poor offense. But Stroman has never beaten the A’s, going 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.874 WHIP in four career starts against them.
Stroman is 1-12 in road games vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game in his career. The A’s are 41-14 in their last 55 home games as a favorite of -110 or higher. The Blue Jays are 0-6 in Stroman’s last six starts. Oakland is 7-0 in the last seven meetings. Bet the A’s Friday.
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Warriors vs Clippers
Warriors -9 -106 at pinnacle
Ricky’s 1* Free Play on the Golden State Warriors.
I had a play on the Warriors in their Game 3 win. If you didn’t get a chance to read that analysis, I believe it’s worth a quick look right now, as for the most part the logic behind that one directly pertains to this particular selection as well for me:
As a “key angle” I stated: – History of success when dealing with adversity. Golden State dominated in its 121-104 home win in Game 1, but then collapsed in LA’s 135-131 historic come from behind win in Game 2. Can anyone say “letdown spot” for the Clippers here? The Warriors have won championships without DeMarcus Cousins and if they’re going to do it this season again, they’ll have to do it without the big man, as he tore his achilles in the Game 2 setback. Golden State though is filled with veteran talent and I expect it to step up and take advantage of this content Clippers side with a resounding victory.
– Golden State is 12-7 ATS in its last 19 when playing with two days rest.
– The Warriors are 16-10 ATS in their last 26 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games.
– The Clippers are a horrible 11-21 ATS in their last 32 as a home underdog, including only 3-9 ATS this year.
The verdict: I think the Clippers have hit the wall. Golden State is without Cousins, but its veteran core is about to close out this opening round series strong in my opinion. Consider the defending champs in Game 4!
Celtics vs Pacers
Pacers -2½ -110 at sportsbook
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Indiana Pacers -2.5
The Pacers played well enough to win Game 2. But they blew a double-digit lead in the fourth quarter and were outscored by 19 in the final period. They just haven’t been a good road team all season, but it has been a different story for them at home. The Pacers are 29-12 at home this season and have some of the best fans in the league. In what is a must-win game, look for them to get the job done at home tonight in Game 3. The Pacers are 6-0 in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days. Give me the Pacers.
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Blue Jays vs A’s
A’s -123 at pinnacle
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76ers vs Nets
76ers -2½ -110 at Mirage
John Ryan Sports
5-STAR WAGER ON THE PHILADELPHIA 76ERS AS THEY TAKE ON THE BROOKLYN NETS IN GAME-4 SET TO START AT 3:05 PM EST
Here is a database situational query that has earned a 56-24 ATS record for 70% wins since 1995 and instructs us to play on road favorites (PHILADELPHIA) off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival and are now facing an opponent off a home loss by 10 points or more. Now, if we adjust this query for the playoffs and the first round it is simply play on road favorites in the first round of the playoffs off a game where they won by 10 or more points. Since 2012, this playoff edition has earned a 20-11 ATS record for 65% winners.
From the machine learning side of the street the 76ers are projected to score 111 or more points and have a minimum rebounding edge over the Nets of nine. In past games where the 76ers have met or exceeded these measures they have earned a 69-4 SU record winning the games by an average of 15.3 points and a 59-14-0 ATS mark for 81% wins and covering the spread by an average of 11.5 points.
Take the 76ers