Ben Burns has been handicapping since he was 11 years old – well not professionally, but he was mentioned in a sports magazine for his accurate predictions. He has made his picks available to the public in 1998 and since then he had earned dozens of Top 3 finishes in basketball, baseball, hockey, and football. He is the #1 NFL Handicapper of all time at Big Guy Sports, where he spent a decade of his career.
Ben Burns Rating Scale
Ben Burns went into the week with a 2-0 start on Monday, unfortunately on Tuesday he has a disappointing 1-3 result. However, this isn’t normal for Burns, his winning days definitely outweigh his off days.
Burns is now 114-79 ($18,542) for L6 weeks in all sports but that’s just the beginning of the 2013-year. Each year Burns has an incredible finish and he is expecting the same great results for 2013. He has a staggering 757-567 ($52,684) over L11 months.
Ben Burns Technique
Burn doesn’t use any specific method for his handicapping, he combines technique, fundamental, and situational techniques to retrieve and analyze all of his acquired data. He uses a 5-10* rating system, he uses titles to clearly indicate how strong his picks are, such as:
· Complimentary Play – These are opinions, which didn’t make the grade as premium plays. They are not part of the overall program and are not counted in any records.
· Regular play (no title) – Can be favorites, underdogs, and/or totals.
· Annihilator – Side that has potential to “annihilate” the pointspread.
· Personal Favorite – Strongest favorite (or pick’em game) in the sport that day.
· Best-Bet – Strongest underdog in in the sporting event for that day occasionally can be a total.
Be a savvy investor and trust Ben Burns with your sports betting.
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|Reds vs Padres||Padres +1½ -175||Premium||4-2||Loss||-175||Show|
|Blue Jays vs A’s||A’s -139||Top Premium||10-1||Loss||-139||Show|
|White Sox vs Tigers||OVER 9 -109||Premium||0-0||Push||0||Show|
|Stars vs Predators||Predators -144||Top Premium||5-3||Loss||-144||Show|
|Rockets vs Jazz||Jazz -3 -103||Top Premium||104-101||Loss||-103||Show|
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Nationals vs Marlins
I’m playing on WASHINGTON. After beating Scherzer yesterday, the Marlins have taken the first two games of the series. Expect Strasburg and co. to avoid the sweep this afternoon. Note that Washington is a perfect 10-0 the past 10 times that Strasburg started against the Marlins. Richards wasn’t very good last time out, walking more than he struck out, while allowing five earned runs in 4 2/3 innings. Strasburg, on the other hand, had eight K’s and 0 walks. The Marlins are still an ugly 48-82 the past 2+ seasons, as underdogs in the +125 to +175 range. Expect the Nats to win big.
Blue Jays vs A’s
I’m playing on OAKLAND. I lost with the A’s yesterday but I’m coming right back with them today. Both starters have excellent ERA’s to start the season. (Anderson is 3-0 with a 2.63 ERA. Sanchez is 2-1 with a 2.86 ERA.) I like what I see from Anderson more so far though. Over his past two starts, Anderson has allowed four combined runs in 13 innings, walking just three. Over his past two starts, Sanchez has walked eight batters in 11 innings. He allowed four earned runs last time out. Anderson has a 1.21 WHIP compared to Sanchez’s 1.36 mark. Its also worth mentioning that Sanchez has been rocked both times he started against Oakland, once last season and once in 2016. The A’s are 22-6 the past 28 times that they were listed as home favorites of -150 or greater. Expect them to bounce back and avoid the sweep.
Sharks vs Golden Knights
I’m playing SJ on the puck-line (+1.5 goals.) I’ve played on the Sharks in both their victories but stayed off them in all three of their losses. None of those first five games were decided by a single goal. Thats not normal though, as we’ve seen so many close games in the rest of the first round matchups. I’m expecting Game 6 to be the closest one yet and wouldn’t be at all surprised to see it go to OT. The Sharks played great in Game 5 and they’re going to be every bit as determined in this one. Note that they’re 52-36 (+5.6) vs. the money-line the past 2+ seasons, off a win by two or more goals, 18-11 in that situation this season. Desperate to avoid another disappointing playoff performance, expect the Sharks to rise to the occasion, en route to AT LEAST a “puck-line cover.”
Raptors vs Magic
I’m playing on Toronto/Orlando OVER the total. With the first three games of this series all staying below the number, we’re working with a much lower O/U line for Game 4. I feel that it’ll prove to be too low. Keep in mind that two previous 2019 meetings, prior to these playoffs, had O/U lines of 216.5. Those games finished with 211 and 230 points, respectively. Toronto road games are still averaging 222.1 ppg. Orlando home games are still averaging 216.9 ppg. The OVER is 6-4 when the Magic were off three or more consec. games which stayed below the total. The OVER is also 9-3 when the Raptors were road favorites of -6 or less. With the OVER also at 25-13-2 the past 40 times that Toronto was off b2b victories, look for the offenses to come alive in this one.
Celtics vs Pacers
I’m playing Boston/Indiana OVER the total. After three straight low-scoring games, all of which stayed below the total, many are going to expect more of the same on Sunday. However, with the series now sitting at 3-0, I’m looking for a much higher-scoring affair. The series is essentially finished; teams just dont come back from 3-0 deficits in the NBA playoffs. That takes a little bit of the pressure off and I expect it to lead to more offense. As of this writing, the Celtics are -2 or -2.5 point favorites. Thats worth mentioning as the OVER is 11-4-2 when they were listed as road favorites of -6 or less. Additionally, its worth noting that the OVER is 12-7 when Boston was off three or more consecutive wins. With the OVER also at 14-6-1 when the Celtics were off a road win, look for Sunday’s game to prove higher-scoring than most will be expecting, the final combined score finishing above the low number.
Sharks vs Golden Knights
I’m playing on SJ/Vegas UNDER the total. While its been a mostly high-scoring series, I expect goals to be much harder to come by in this one. Thus far, there have been a lot of very early goals – ones within the first 90 seconds of the game. Those early goals have led to high-scoring games overall. That’s not likely to continue though; I expect that first goal to take a lot longer here. Even with Game 5, finishing above the total, the Knights have still seen the UNDER go 8-2-1 when leading in a playoff series. Its also worth mentioning that the UNDER is 10-4 when Vegas played with two day’s rest in between games. If we look back to last year’s playoff series between these teams, Game 5 also finished above the total. However, Game 6 saw only three combined goals scored, a 3-0 final. That game had an O/U line of 5.5. Here, we’re working with a 6.5, which is a significant difference. Expect a low-scoring affair.
In “Outliers,” Malcolm Gladwell asks the question: “What makes high achievers different?” Gladwell suggests that those at the top of their field have a number of similarities – that their upbringing (culture, family, what generation they came from, experiences) had much to do with their success.
As a professional sports handicapper, Ben Burns is widely recognized as being “at the top of his field.” A look at Ben’s upbringing shows that he fits Gladwell’s model to a tee.
Exposed to the world of point spreads early and often as a child, Burns reached adulthood as the Internet was first beginning to explode, just as the first offshore sportsbooks were springing up. By that time he’d already spent thousands of hours learning and studying stats.
From an early age it became apparent to family and friends that Ben wasn’t a “typical” fan. At age 11, he was mentioned in a major newspaper (Toronto Star) for correctly predicting a high profile trade before the Major League Baseball trading deadline. (Winner of the contest got tickets to the All Star game.)
Ben’s father and uncles were always involved in a weekly NFL (ATS) pool. Some of Ben’s earliest memories included that pool and his fascination with it. As soon as he was allowed to play, Ben demonstrated an uncanny ability to surprise the adults. Around this time, one of his uncles moved his casino business to the Caribbean. This was the environment which he came from.
The caption underneath Ben’s high-school graduation photo references Ben’s love for betting on football. That’s because he was famous throughout his school for annually winning the local football contest, along with the $1700 per year which was awarded to the champ.
Coming of age right as the first sports books were coming online, Ben was fortunate to enjoy some success with his some of his early online sports betting endeavors. He did so well that the first shop he ever played at ended up refusing to take his hockey bets.
Also, in the very early days of the Internet, Ben won an NBA playoff contest, put on by a company which was called NSS.net. The contest victory awarded him a trip for two to Las Vegas, $1000 cash, a limo at his disposal, free shows, hotel and live sports odds for a year. Not a bad prize for a kid in his early 20s. However, the bigger prize was that Ben was exposed to the world of “professional sports handicapping.” Inspired by his personal success and encouraged by his peers, Ben first made his picks available to the public in 1998.
Achievements in Handicapping/Sports
Top Ranked NFL Handicapper
From the years of 1998-2007, Ben’s selections were independently documented at one of the Internet’s earliest and most respected sports monitors, Big Guy Sports. During that time, Ben earned literally dozens of documented Top 3 finishes in football, basketball, baseball AND hockey, including numerous #1 titles. Competing against a field of 150 of the biggest names in the industry, he ranked as the #1 NFL handicapper in the existence of that sports monitor, in their All-Time rankings. No competing handicapping service ever came close to matching his NFL record. In fact, Ben also ranked as the #1 combined NFL/NCAA football handicapper.
10 Straight Super Bowl Winners
A big part of the reason for Ben’s #1 NFL titles was his annual success in the playoffs. He fared particularly well with his Super Bowl selections. In fact, from 1999-2007, he released 10 Super Bowl picks (3 Sides, 7 totals) and went a perfect 10-0. (All selections independently documented.) In the middle of that 10-0 streak, in the 2002-2003 season, Ben won with both the Bucs and the “over” the year that they beat the Raiders. That win was particularly sweet as he predicted that Tampa would win the Super Bowl in a number of national magazines, prior to the season even starting.
Ben got pretty seriously into the DFS world in 2014 and 2015. Recently, he was featured as “The High Roller” in the 2015 documentary, “Living the Fantasy.” A regular fixture at Fan Duel and Draft Kings live championship events, Burns has taken down 6-figure scores in football, basketball AND baseball. While many of the other prominent DFS players come from a poker background, two decades as a sports handicapper provide a unique perspective.
Biggest Win of 2016
The year has just begun but Ben has already enjoyed some notable wins. His “Bowl Game of the Year,” which happened to be a total (WVU/ASU “over”) saw the teams combine for 85 points and 1196 total yards, all of them in regulation. Closing out the campaign with wins on Clemson AND the “over” in the championship game was also rewarding.
Systems Used For Handicapping
Bruce Lee noted: “Man, the living creature, the creating individual, is always more important than any established style of system.” Lee was known to talk about being shapeless, formless (like water) and ready to adapt to any situation. Likewise, Burns doesn’t rely on any one particular methodology. Rather, he combines fundamental, technical and situational techniques, making use of any and all data, which he deems relevant to the situation.
Ben does tend to pay particular attention to the ‘situational’ side of things. Among numerous other factors, this includes trying to determine when (and why) a team will be extra motivated (“pumped up”) to play its best and also when a team may be ripe for a “letdown.” Burns has a contrarian nature and this trait is often revealed in his selections.
Ever adapting, Burns is just as likely to take points as he is to lay them. Over the years, he’s played more “unders” than “overs” but that doesn’t mean that he won’t pull the trigger on an “over” when the time is right to do so. While many handicappers shy away from playing MLB/NHL favorites on the money-line, Ben has proven that one can be highly successful by doing so. For him, it’s all about value. If he can get a team at -130 that he likes and that believes should be -160, than that’s a play.
Rating and Titles of Plays
Ben uses a scale of 5-10 to show his level of confidence with each play. Plays may include “titles” in order to give users a better idea of what to expect. Some of those titles include:
Personal Favorite – Strongest favorite (or pick’em game) in that sport for the day.
Best Bet – Strongest underdog (or pick’em game) in that sport for the day, occasionally can be a total.
Blue Chip Total – Strongest rated total in that sport/category for the day.
Main Event – Big play which is featured on national television.
Game Of The Week/Month/Year – Top rated side or total for that particular week/month/year.